Showing posts with label eric.b. Show all posts
Showing posts with label eric.b. Show all posts

Sunday, January 29, 2012

ADR Arbitrage Across Currencies and Class Structure: Evidence from Ericsson in USD, SEK, and EUR

Ericsson is currently dual listed in Stockholm in SEK, New York in USD, and Frankfurt in EUR.  The SEK shares consist of A and B classes, while the USD and EUR listed shares are both equivalent to the SEK class B shares.  This is a basic ADR structure traded through 3 currency pairs and 2 different class structures.

As evidenced in the first chart below, at the time of the recording, the USD-listed ERIC shares were equivalent in price to the SEK-listed ERIC.B shares.  Note the ERCB shares correspond to the right axis and trade at a roughly 50% discount to USD shares.  The Class A SEK-denominated ERIC.A shares trade at a discount to their own and USD-listed B Class equivalents.

This study incorporated the cash markets for the EUR/USD, EUR/SEK, and USD/SEK exchange rates.  The principles of triangular arbitrage were incorporated to derive values across the structure.

The Currency Adjusted USD-value Shares:

The US-listed shares register a bid/ask as early as 3am CST and track the SEK-listed B shares.  

The Currency Adjusted Openings:

As is usually the case for these studies, the outright share prices correspond to the left axis, while the spread value corresponds to the right axis.

USD-listed shares vs. SEK-listed A and B Class shares.



EUR-listed B Class shares vs. USD-listed B Class shares.


EUR-listed B Class shares vs. SEK-listed A and B Class shares.



A closer look at the turbulence in the bid/ask of the EUR-listed ERCB shares.  I believe this is similar in nature to some of the research posted by Nanex.



And in the closing 5 minutes, the SEK-listed ERIC.B shares experience some unusual turbulence.  I don't like to speculate because this could have happened for any number of reasons (data integrity, software integrity, etc.), but judging by the increase in the bid/ask spread of the ERCB shares (EUR-listed), the market maker appears to have known it was coming.



A closer look at the overall spreads during the 8:30-10:30am CST market overlap. Again, in order as before.

USD-listed shares vs. SEK-listed A and B Class shares.



EUR-listed B Class shares vs. USD-listed B Class shares.


EUR-listed B Class shares vs. SEK-listed A and B Class shares.



Further Reading:
ADR Market Timing: In Which Market Do Issuers Possess Better Market-Timing Ability and what is the Role of Regulations?
Impact of ADR Listing on the Trading Volume in the Domestic Market